Theses and Dissertations at Montana State University (MSU)
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://scholarworks.montana.edu/handle/1/733
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Item Bayesian computing and sampling design for partially-surveyed spatial point process models(Montana State University - Bozeman, College of Letters & Science, 2020) Flagg, Kenneth Allen; Chairperson, Graduate Committee: Andrew Hoegh; Andrew Hoegh and John Borkowski were co-authors of the article, 'Modeling partially-surveyed point process data: inferring spatial point intensity of geomagnetic anomalies' in the journal 'Journal of agricultural, biological, and environmental statistics' which is contained within this dissertation.; Andrew Hoegh was a co-author of the article, 'The integrated nested laplace approximation applied to spatial log-Gaussian Cox process models' submitted to the journal 'Journal of applied statistics' which is contained within this dissertation.; John Borkowski and Andrew Hoegh were co-authors of the article, 'Log-Gaussian Cox processes and sampling paths: towards optimal design' submitted to the journal 'Spatial statistics' which is contained within this dissertation.Spatial point processes model situations such as unexploded ordnance, plant and animal populations, and celestial bodies, where events occur at distinct points in space. Point process models describe the number and distribution of these events. These models have been mathematically understood for many decades, but have not been widely used because of computational challenges. Computing advances in the last 30 years have kept interest alive, with several breakthroughs circa 2010 that have made Bayesian spatial point process models practical for many applications. There is now interest in sampling, where the process is only observed in part of the study site. My dissertation work deals with sampling along paths, a standard feature of unexploded ordnance remediation studies. In this dissertation, I introduce a data augmentation procedure to adapt a Dirichlet process mixture model to sampling situations and I provide the first comparison of a variety of sampling designs with regard to their spatial prediction performance for spatial log-Gaussian Cox process (LGCP) models. The Dirichlet process model remains computationally expensive in the sampling case while the LGCP performs well with low computing time. The sampling design study shows that paths with regular spacing perform well, with corners and direction changes being helpful when the path is short.