Theses and Dissertations at Montana State University (MSU)
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Item Impacts of forest mortality on streamflow in whitebark pine forests within the greater Yellowstone ecosystem(Montana State University - Bozeman, College of Letters & Science, 2024) Rautu, Teodora Stefana; Co-chairs, Graduate Committee: Brian V. Smithers and Danielle E. M. UlrichIncreasing forest mortality across the western U.S. raises concerns about its impact on streamflow. The hydrologic role of whitebark pine (Pinus albicaulis Engelm.) is of particular interest given its ongoing decline and prevalence at the upper treeline where precipitation is highest. Understanding the link between disturbed whitebark pine forests and streamflow is essential for better informing water resource management. In Chapter One, I investigated streamflow changes in two Wyoming whitebark pine watersheds: Upper Wind River (53% area affected by beetle outbreak) and Buffalo Fork (53% area affected by beetle outbreak and fire). Streamflow significantly increased post-beetle for Upper Wind River but did not significantly change post-disturbance for Buffalo Fork, attributed to the fire's limited spatial extent and post- beetle effects potentially occurring in the pre-disturbance period. In Chapter Two, I integrated Leaf Area Index into a hydrologic model to reflect changing canopy conditions and assessed water balance variables that drove the observed changes in streamflow in Chapter One. I found that an increase in annual precipitation primarily led to the increase in observed streamflow more so than forest mortality, and snowpack and snowmelt were consistent predictors of streamflow metrics. My findings suggest monitoring snow dynamics for accurate real-time and future streamflow forecasting. In Chapter Three, I used streamflow field data and the same hydrologic model to assess the impact of increasing tree mortality on streamflow within a whitebark pine- dominated watershed in Big Sky, Montana. After simulating mortality levels ranging from 0-90% for one year, tree mortality did not substantially impact streamflow until the 90% mortality level where annual flow and late summer flow substantially increased. Considering that mortality levels between 25-50% are more representative of whitebark pine mortality in one year, the lack of substantial impacts on snowpack and streamflow at the 25-50% mortality levels challenges the traditional assumption that whitebark pine mortality would lead to reduced snowpack and reduced late summer flow in open watersheds with 30% forest cover. Future studies should assess the multi-decade impacts of whitebark pine mortality on hydrologic processes and consider species differences in evapotranspiration as other subalpine species replace whitebark pine.Item Understanding the effects of floodplain shade on hyporheic and stream channel temperature cycles(Montana State University - Bozeman, College of Agriculture, 2024) Fogg, Sarah Kathleen; Chairperson, Graduate Committee: Geoffrey C. Poole; This is a manuscript style paper that includes co-authored chapters.River reaches with coarse-grained alluvial floodplains have a breadth of lateral interaction between the channel and surrounding landscape, yielding extensive riparian zones and high rates of gross water exchange between the channel and substrate (i.e., hyporheic exchange). The lateral hyporheic zone on floodplain rivers is often near the ground surface, allowing for heat exchange between the atmosphere, unsaturated sediments, and hyporheic zone. We hypothesized that floodplain shade overlying lateral hyporheic water influences the conductive heat flux through unsaturated sediments, thus influencing hyporheic temperatures and temperatures in associated stream channels. We conducted simulation modeling experiments to test the potential effects of floodplain shade on hyporheic and stream channel temperatures. We found that scenarios with floodplain shade led to cooler hyporheic and stream temperatures than scenarios lacking floodplain shade under a variety of realistic floodplain conditions. We conclude that floodplain forest shade is a novel consideration for riparian management on floodplain river reaches and may be crucial in managing and maintaining cold-water habitat into the future.Item Long-term environmental history of two low-elevation mixed-conifer forests, Mission Valley, Montana(Montana State University - Bozeman, College of Letters & Science, 2021) LaPierre, Kari Richard; Chairperson, Graduate Committee: David McWethyLow elevation mixed-conifer forests are widespread throughout the Northern Rocky Mountains, yet there are few long-term environmental histories from these structurally and compositionally heterogenous ecosystems. We reconstructed >10,000 years of vegetation change, fire activity, and human presence (e.g., pollen, charcoal, biomarkers) for two closed-basin lakes in mixed-conifer forests in the Mission Valley, western Montana. Environmental reconstructions highlight periods of pronounced changes in climate, vegetation, and fire activity. The late glacial period (>18,000-11,000 cal yr. BP) was characterized by post-glacial warming, generally wet conditions, establishment of mixed-conifer forests and infrequent fires. Following an abrupt, short-lived return to Juniper/Douglas fir parkland associated with the Younger Dryas (~12,900-11,500 cal yr. BP), warming temperatures during the early Holocene (11,000-6,000 cal yr. BP) promoted the expansion of open parkland/grasslands and frequent fire activity until cooler summers and warm, wet winters facilitated the development of modern-day closed mixed-conifer forests. Organic biomarker analyses indicate human presence within the Rainbow Lake watershed for millennia c. 7,000-3,000 cal yr. BP. Regional fire frequency increased during this period at Rainbow Lake, suggesting a possible increased role of human influence.Item Climate-fire-vegetation dynamics in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem: recent trends and future projections in a changing climate(Montana State University - Bozeman, College of Letters & Science, 2020) Emmett, Kristen Dawn; Co-chairs, Graduate Committee: Benjamin Poulter and David Roberts; Katherine M. Renwick and Benjamin Poulter were co-authors of the article, 'Disdentangling climate and disturbance effects on regional vegetation greening trends' in the journal 'Ecosystems' which is contained within this dissertation.; Katherine M. Renwick and Benjamin Poulter were co-authors of the article, 'Adapting a dynamic vegetation model for regional biomass, plant biogeography, and fire modeling in the western U.S.: evaluating LPJ-GUESSLMFIRECF' submitted to the journal 'Ecological modelling' which is contained within this dissertation.; Benjamin Poulter was a co-author of the article, 'Processed-based modeling approaches for climate-vegetation-fire feedbacks in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem' which is contained within this dissertation.Climate change threatens to change forested ecosystems and wildfire characteristics across the globe. For the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem (GYE), under future warming temperatures, wildfire activity is expected to increase and the suitable habitat for many dominant tree species is expected to shrink. Previous studies predict large high severity fires to occur more frequently, potentially so frequent that forests are unable to grow old enough to produce seeds and self-regenerate. Studies of suitable climate spaces show that previously habitable areas may become too warm or dry to support common GYE trees. The first goal of this dissertation was to use vegetation images from satellites to detect recent changes in forest productivity in the GYE, and then determine the relative importance of recent climate and disturbance observations in explaining these changes. We found that areas with detected increases in plant growth, or 'greening' trends, were associated with forested areas regenerating after wildfire. Detected decreases in plant growth, or 'browning' trends, were associated with areas that had recently burned. Historically dry areas with recent increases in precipitation were associated with greening trends. Warming of 0-2 °C was associated with greening trends, while greater increases in temperature (>2 °C) were correlated with browning trends. The key take-away is although forests in the GYE are usually considered temperature limited, changes in precipitation may be more important than previously thought. The second goal of this dissertation was to adapt a global vegetation computer model for regional applications to simulate forests and wildfire dynamics, ultimately to run simulations under future climate conditions to predict how forest extent and composition may change. Life history characteristics and climate limitations were aquired for the dominant GYE plant types to dictate their establishment, growth, competition, and mortality in the new model. Before running future simulations, it is required to evaluate how well the model represents current conditions. Adding new equations that calculate the initiation, spread, and effects of crown fires was required to reproduce recent vegetation abundance, distribution of plant types, and fire activity in the GYE. Methods, expected results, and implications of running future simulations are described in Chapter 4.Item Late Holocene vegetation and fire history in subalpine forests of northwestern Montana(Montana State University - Bozeman, College of Letters & Science, 2020) Sly, Shelby Fulton; Chairperson, Graduate Committee: David McWethyMid-to high- elevation forests of the Northern Rocky Mountains are dynamic systems that change in time in response to climate, disturbance and human activities. Climate models suggest these ecosystems will experience warmer temperatures, decreased spring snowpack, drier summers, and longer fire seasons, highlighting a need to better understand how these systems respond to changing climatic conditions. Sediment cores were extracted from two lakes in the Mission and Reservation Divide Mountains of Montana and analyzed for pollen and macroscopic charcoal to reconstruct fire and vegetation histories. The records from Mud Lake and Three Lakes Peak span the last 5400 and 4600 years respectively, and highlight the long-term persistence and relative stability of closed, mixed conifer/subalpine forests. During the mid-Holocene (approx. ca. 5000 yr BP), Pinus pollen percentages increased, suggesting closed forests which then transitioned to mesic forest of Pinus, Abies, and Picea over the last ca. 4000 years. Modern forests established between 3500-3000 cal yr BP at both sites. Both sites experience elevated fire activity during the Medieval Climate Anomaly c. 1000-900 cal yr BP which is consistent with other sites in the region. While relatively infrequent (2-4 fires per millennia), wildfires played a role in maintaining early successional vegetation (Poaeceae, Alnus spp.) and taxa that benefit from post-fire reduction in competition such as five-needle pines. Paleoenvironmental records from these two sites indicate subalpine forests of northwestern Montana persisted with relative stability throughout the mid to late-Holocene. With projections for increased warming, longer fire seasons and the possibility for increased occurance of short-interval fires in higher elevation ecosystems of the Northern Rocky Mountains, subalpine forests may become vulnerable to rapid transitions to different forest types or even non-forest systems.