Convective suppression before and during the United States Northern Great Plains flash drought of 2017
|Bromley, Gabriel T.
|Ruddell, Benjamin L.
|Stoy, Paul C.
|Gerken, Tobias, Gabriel T. Bromley, Benjamin L. Ruddell, Skylar Williams, and Paul C. Stoy. " Convective suppression before and during the United States Northern Great Plains flash drought of 2017." Hydrology & Earth System Sciences 22, no. 8 (August 2018). DOI:10.5194/hess-22-4155-2018.
|Flash droughts tend to be disproportionately destructive because they intensify rapidly and are difficult to prepare for. We demonstrate that the 2017 US Northern Great Plains (NGP) flash drought was preceded by a breakdown of landâ€“atmosphere coupling. Severe drought conditions in the NGP were first identified by drought monitors in late May 2017 and rapidly progressed to exceptional drought in July. The likelihood of convective precipitation in May 2017 in northeastern Montana, however, resembled that of a typical August when rain is unlikely. Based on the lower tropospheric humidity index (HIlow), convective rain was suppressed by the atmosphere on nearly 50% of days during March in NE Montana and central North Dakota, compared to 30% during a normal year. Micrometeorological variables, including potential evapotranspiration (ETp), were neither anomalously high nor low before the onset of drought. Incorporating convective likelihood to drought forecasts would have noted that convective precipitation in the NGP was anomalously unlikely during the early growing season of 2017. It may therefore be useful to do so in regions that rely on convective precipitation.
|CC BY, This license lets you distribute, remix, tweak, and build upon this work, even commercially, as long as you credit the original creator for this work. This is the most accommodating of licenses offered. Recommended for maximum dissemination and use
|Convective suppression before and during the United States Northern Great Plains flash drought of 2017
|Hydrology & Earth System Sciences
|Life Sciences & Earth Sciences
|College of Agriculture
|Land Resources & Environmental Sciences.
|Montana State University - Bozeman
|Bromley, Gabriel T.|0000-0002-4497-1058
Files in this item
This item appears in the following Collection(s)
Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as CC BY, This license lets you distribute, remix, tweak, and build upon this work, even commercially, as long as you credit the original creator for this work. This is the most accommodating of licenses offered. Recommended for maximum dissemination and use