Browsing by Author "M'soka, Jassiel"

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Conserving large populations of lions - the argument for fences has holes
(2013-07-09) Creel, Scott; Becker, Matthew S.; Durant, S. M.; M'soka, Jassiel; Matandiko, Wigganson; Dickman, A. J.; Christianson, David A.; Dröge, E.; Mweetwa, Thandiwe; Pettorelli, N.; Rosenblatt, Elias G.; Schuette, Paul; Woodroffe, R.; Bashir, S.; Beudels-Jamar, R. C.; Blake, S.; Borner, M.; Breitenmoser, C.; Broekhuis, F.; Cozzi, G.; Davenport, T. R. B.; Deutsch, J.; Dollar, L.; Dolrenry, Stephanie; Douglas-Hamilton, I.; Fitzherbert, E.; Foley, C.; Hazzah, L.; Henschel, P.; Hilborn, R.; Hopcraft, J. G. C.; Ikanda, D.; Jacobson, A.; Joubert, B.; Kelly, M. S.; Lichtenfeld, L.; Mace, G. M.; Milanzi, J.; Mitchell, N.; Msuha, M.; Muir, R.; Nyahongo, J.; Pimm, S.; Purchase, G.; Schenck, C.; Sillera-Zubiri, C.; Sinclair, A. R. E.; Songorwa, A. N.; Stanley-Price, M.; Tehou, C. A.; Trout, C.; Wall, J.; Wittemyer, G.; Zimmermann, A.
Packer et al. reported that fenced lion populations attain densities closer to carrying capacity than unfenced populations. However, fenced populations are often maintained above carrying capacity, and most are small. Many more lions are conserved per dollar invested in unfenced ecosystems, which avoid the ecological and economic costs of fencing.
Foraging investment in a long-lived herbivore and vulnerability to coursing and stalking predators
(2018-10) Christianson, David A.; Becker, Matthew S.; Brennan, Angela; Creel, Scott; Droge, Egil; M'soka, Jassiel; Mukula, Teddy; Schuette, Paul; Smit, Daan; Watson, Fred
Allocating resources to growth and reproduction requires grazers to invest time in foraging, but foraging promotes dental senescence and constrains expression of proactive antipredator behaviors such as vigilance. We explored the relationship between carnivore prey selection and prey foraging effort using incisors collected from the kills of coursing and stalking carnivores. We predicted that prey investing less effort in foraging would be killed more frequently by coursers, predators that often exploit physical deficiencies. However, such prey could expect delayed dental senescence. We predicted that individuals investing more effort in foraging would be killed more frequently by stalkers, predators that often exploit behavioral vulnerabilities. Further these prey could expect earlier dental senescence. We tested these predictions by comparing variation in age-corrected tooth wear, a proxy of cumulative foraging effort, in adult (3.4-11.9 years) wildebeest killed by coursing and stalking carnivores. Predator type was a strong predictor of age-corrected tooth wear within each gender. We found greater foraging effort and earlier expected dental senescence, equivalent to 2.6 additional years of foraging, in female wildebeest killed by stalkers than in females killed by coursers. However, male wildebeest showed the opposite pattern with the equivalent of 2.4 years of additional tooth wear in males killed by coursers as compared to those killed by stalkers. Sex-specific variation in the effects of foraging effort on vulnerability was unexpected and suggests that behavioral and physical aspects of vulnerability may not be subject to the same selective pressures across genders in multipredator landscapes.
Predation strongly limits demography of a keystone migratory herbivore in a recovering transfrontier ecosystem
(Wiley, 2022-10) Watson, Fred; Becker, Matthew S.; Smit, Daan; Droge, Egil; Mukula, Teddy; Martens, Sandra; Mwaba, Shadrach; Christianson, David; Creel, Scott; Brennan, Angela; M'soka, Jassiel; Gaylard, Angela; Simukonda, Chuma; Nyirenda, Moses; Mayani, Bridget
Large herbivore migrations are imperiled globally; however the factors limiting a population across its migratory range are typically poorly understood. Zambia's Greater Liuwa Ecosystem (GLE) contains one of the largest remaining blue wildebeest (Connochaetes taurinus taurinus) migrations, yet the population structure, vital rates, and limiting factors are virtually unknown. We conducted a long-term demographic study of GLE wildebeest from 2012 to 2019 of 107 collared adult females and their calves, 7352 herd observations, 12 aerial population surveys, and concurrent carnivore studies. We applied methods of vital rate estimation and survival analysis within a Bayesian estimation framework. From herd composition observations, we estimated rates of fecundity, first-year survival, and recruitment as 68%, 56%, and 38% respectively, with pronounced interannual variation. Similar rates were estimated from calf-detections with collared cows. Adult survival rates declined steadily from 91% at age 2 years to 61% at age 10 years thereafter dropping more sharply to 2% at age 16 years. Predation, particularly by spotted hyena, was the predominant cause of death for all wildebeest ages and focused on older animals. Starvation only accounted for 0.8% of all unbiased known natural causes of death. Mortality risk differed substantially between wet and dry season ranges, reflecting strong spatio-temporal differences in habitat and predator densities. There was substantial evidence that mortality risk to adults was 27% higher in the wet season, and strong evidence that it was 45% higher in the migratory range where predator density was highest. The estimated vital rates were internally consistent, predicting a stable population trajectory consistent with aerial estimates. From essentially zero knowledge of GLE wildebeest dynamics, this work provides vital rates, age structure, limiting factors, and a plausible mechanism for the migratory tendency, and a robust model-based foundation to evaluate the effects of potential restrictions in migratory range, climate change, predator–prey dynamics, and poaching.
The relationship between direct predation and antipredator responses: a test with multiple predators and multiple prey
(2017-08) Creel, Scott; M'soka, Jassiel; Smit, Daan; Becker, Matthew S.; Christianson, David A.; Schuette, Paul; Dröge, Egil
Most species adjust their behavior to reduce the likelihood of predation. Many experiments have shown that antipredator responses carry energetic costs that can affect growth, survival, and reproduction, so that the total cost of predation depends on a trade-off between direct predation and risk effects. Despite these patterns, few field studies have examined the relationship between direct predation and the strength of antipredator responses, particularly for complete guilds of predators and prey. We used scan sampling in 344 observation periods over a four-year field study to examine behavioral responses to the immediate presence of predators for a complete antelope guild (dominated by wildebeest, zebra, and oribi) in Liuwa Plains National Park, Zambia, testing for differences in response to all large carnivores in the ecosystem (lions, spotted hyenas, cheetahs, and African wild dogs). We quantified the proportion that each prey species contributed to the kills made by each predator (516 total kills), used distance sampling on systematic line transects to determine the abundance of each prey species, and combined these data to quantify the per-capita risk of direct predation for each predator-prey pair. On average, antelopes increased their vigilance by a factor of 2.4 when predators were present. Vigilance varied strongly among prey species, but weakly in response to different predators. Increased vigilance was correlated with reduced foraging in a similar manner for all prey species. The strength of antipredator response was not detectably related to patterns of direct predation (n = 15 predator-prey combinations with sufficient data). This lack of correlation has implications for our understanding of the role of risk effects as part of the limiting effect of predators on prey.
Spatial and temporal avoidance of risk within a large carnivore guild
(2017-01) Droge, Egil; Creel, Scott; Becker, Matthew S.; M'soka, Jassiel
Within a large carnivore guild, subordinate competitors (African wild dog, Lycaon pictus, and cheetah, Acinonyx jubatus) might reduce the limiting effects of dominant competitors (lion, Panthera leo, and spotted hyena, Crocuta crocuta) by avoiding them in space, in time, or through patterns of prey selection. Understanding how these competitors cope with one other can inform strategies for their conservation. We tested how mechanisms of niche partitioning promote coexistence by quantifying patterns of prey selection and the use of space and time by all members of the large carnivore guild within Liuwa Plain National Park in western Zambia. Lions and hyenas specialized on wildebeest, whereas wild dogs and cheetahs selected broader diets including smaller and less abundant prey. Spatially, cheetahs showed no detectable avoidance of areas heavily used by dominant competitors, but wild dogs avoided areas heavily used by lions. Temporally, the proportion of kills by lions and hyenas did not detectably differ across four time periods (day, crepuscular, early night, and late night), but wild dogs and especially cheetahs concentrated on time windows that avoided nighttime hunting by lions and hyenas. Our results provide new insight into the conditions under which partitioning may not allow for coexistence for one subordinate species, the African wild dog, while it does for cheetah. Because of differences in responses to dominant competitors, African wild dogs may be more prone to competitive exclusion (local extirpation), particularly in open, uniform ecosystems with simple (often wildebeest dominated) prey communities, where spatial avoidance is difficult.