Scholarly Work - Earth Sciences
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://scholarworks.montana.edu/handle/1/8747
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Item Insights into the indigenous-managed landscape in southeast Australia during the Holocene(Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2023-04) Adesanya Adeleye, Matthew; Graeme Haberle, Simon; Hopf, Felicitas; Harris, Stephen; McWethy, David BurchUnderstanding the long-term interactions between people and the ecosystem in which they live is vital for informing present-day ecosystem management plans. The use of pollen data for palaeoecological reconstructions is often limited by the low taxonomic resolution of pollen, which often reduces the detail of reconstructions of human influence on past vegetation. This is true for Australia where Myrtaceae, particularly Eucalyptus species, dominate the landscape, but their pollen is difficult to differentiate. We present a pollen record with high taxonomic resolution of Myrtaceae pollen from the Bass Strait area of southeast Australia, focusing on the period of major human occupation there during the Late Glacial transition. These results were compared to records of hydrology, fire, sediment deposition, herbivore abundance and human occupation. We found that Indigenous burning practices promoted open, subgenus Monocalyptus Eucalyptus woodland at the expense of dense subgenus Symphomyrtus Eucalyptus forest. Previous studies have shown the need for management of the vegetation of southeast Australia guided by Indigenous people, to promote ecosystem resilience and reduce the risk of wildfires. Our results reveal that in addition to reducing wildfires, cultural burning by Indigenous people has the potential to promote the diversity of ecosystems and habitats.Item Increased whitebark pine (Pinus albicaulis) growth and defense under a warmer and regionally drier climate(Frontiers Media SA, 2023-03) Kichas, Nickolas E.; Pederson, Gregory T.; Hood, Sharon M.; Everett, Richard G.; McWethy, David B.Introduction: Tree defense characteristics play a crucial role in modulating conifer bark beetle interactions, and there is a growing body of literature investigating factors mediating tree growth and resin-based defenses in conifers. A subset of studies have looked at relationships between tree growth, resin duct morphology and climate; however, these studies are almost exclusively from lower-elevation, moisture limited systems. The relationship between resin ducts and climate in higher-elevation, energy-limited ecosystems is currently poorly understood. Methods: In this study, we: (1) evaluated the relationship between biological trends in tree growth, resin duct anatomy, and climatic variability and (2) determined if tree growth and resin duct morphology of whitebark pine, a high-elevation conifer of management concern, is constrained by climate and/or regional drought conditions. Results: We found that high-elevation whitebark pine trees growing in an energy-limited system experienced increased growth and defense under warmer and regionally drier conditions, with climate variables explaining a substantive proportion of variation (∼20–31%) in tree diameter growth and resin duct anatomy. Discussion: Our results suggest that whitebark pine growth and defense was historically limited by short growing seasons in high-elevation environments; however, this relationship may change in the future with prolonged warming conditions.Item Assessing changes in global fire regimes(Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2024-02) Sara Sayedi, Sayedeh et al.; McWethy, DavidBackground. The global human footprint has fundamentally altered wildfire regimes, creating serious consequences for human health, biodiversity, and climate. However, it remains difficult to project how long-term interactions among land use, management, and climate change will affect fire behavior, representing a key knowledge gap for sustainable management. We used expert assessment to combine opinions about past and future fire regimes from 99 wildfire researchers. We asked for quantitative and qualitative assessments of the frequency, type, and implications of fire regime change from the beginning of the Holocene through the year 2300. Results. Respondents indicated some direct human influence on wildfire since at least ~ 12,000 years BP, though natural climate variability remained the dominant driver of fire regime change until around 5,000 years BP, for most study regions. Responses suggested a ten-fold increase in the frequency of fire regime change during the last 250 years compared with the rest of the Holocene, corresponding first with the intensification and extensification of land use and later with anthropogenic climate change. Looking to the future, fire regimes were predicted to intensify, with increases in frequency, severity, and size in all biomes except grassland ecosystems. Fire regimes showed different climate sensitivities across biomes, but the likelihood of fire regime change increased with higher warming scenarios for all biomes. Biodiversity, carbon storage, and other ecosystem services were predicted to decrease for most biomes under higher emission scenarios. We present recommendations for adaptation and mitigation under emerging fire regimes, while recognizing that management options are constrained under higher emission scenarios. Conclusion. The influence of humans on wildfire regimes has increased over the last two centuries. The perspective gained from past fires should be considered in land and fire management strategies, but novel fire behavior is likely given the unprecedented human disruption of plant communities, climate, and other factors. Future fire regimes are likely to degrade key ecosystem services, unless climate change is aggressively mitigated. Expert assessment complements empirical data and modeling, providing a broader perspective of fire science to inform decision making and future research priorities.Item A 2000-year record of fecal biomarkers reveals past herbivore presence and impacts in a catchment in northern Yellowstone National Park, USA(Public Library of Science, 2024-10) Wendt, John A .F.; Argiriadis, Elena; Whitlock, Cathy; Bortolini, Mara; Battistel, Dario; McWethy, David B.Molecular biomarkers preserved in lake sediments are increasingly used to develop records of past organism occurrence. When linked with traditional paleoecological methods, analysis of molecular biomarkers can yield new insights into the roles of herbivores and other animals in long-term ecosystem dynamics. We sought to determine whether fecal steroids in lake sediments could be used to reconstruct past ungulate use and dominant taxa in a small catchment in northern Yellowstone National Park. To do so, we characterized the fecal steroid profiles of a selection of North American ungulates historically present in the Yellowstone region (bison, elk, moose, mule deer, and pronghorn) and compared them with those of sediments from a small lake in the Yellowstone Northern Range. Analysis of a set of fecal steroids from herbivore dung (Δ5-sterols, 5α-stanols, 5β-stanols, epi5β-stanols, stanones, and bile acids) differentiated moose, pronghorn, and mule deer, whereas bison and elk were partially differentiated. Our results show that bison and/or elk were the primary ungulates in the watershed over the past c. 2300 years. Fecal steroid influxes reached historically unprecedented levels during the early and middle 20th century, possibly indicating high local use by ungulates. Comparison of fecal steroid influxes with pollen and diatom data suggests that elevated ungulate presence may have contributed to decreased forage taxa (Poaceae, Artemisia, and Salix), relative to long-term averages, and possibly increased lake production. Our results reflect past change within a single watershed, and extending this approach to a network of sites could provide much-needed information on past herbivore communities, use, and environmental influences in Yellowstone National Park and elsewhere.Item Spatiotemporal analysis of wildfires and their relationship with climate and land use in the Gran Chaco and Pantanal ecoregions(Elsevier BV, 2024-12) Vidal-Riveros, Cristina; Currey, Bryce; McWethy, David B.; Ngo Bieng, Marie Ange; Souza-Alonso, PabloThe Gran Chaco and Pantanal ecoregions are the largest remaining dry forest areas in South America. Supporting diverse savanna, woodland and wetland ecosystems, these ecoregions are experiencing rapid changes in land use and fire occurrence with implications for ecosystem integrity. Our study characterizes the spatiotemporal patterns of wildfires in the Gran Chaco and Pantanal, and then examines the relationship between patterns of fire occurrence and climatic and anthropogenic drivers. We evaluated fire data of the last two decades (2001-2020) using the MODIS Collection 6.1 and the Global Fire Atlas products. Results of the fire pattern characterization were then used to model the probability of fire occurrence across each ecoregion (Random Forest, Generalized Linear Model, and Generalized Additive Model). Our results indicated that most of the total burned area belonged to the Humid Chaco, while the largest individual burned areas were mainly observed in the Pantanal. Fires primarily occurred during the dry season, with the majority of burned areas recorded during this period. Findings from the three modelling approaches consistently illustrated the spatial distribution of fire occurrence, depicting a declining probability of fire occurrence from East to West. All models underscored the importance of three variables to predict fire occurrence: temperature, livestock abundance and forest cover. Fire occurrence increased with increasing maximum temperatures and livestock presence and decreased with tree cover. This research helps to clarify the potential consequences of changes in land use, rainfall regime and temperature, and uncontrolled burning practices on the current fire activity in the Gran Chaco and Pantanal ecoregions. Understanding the spatiotemporal patterns of fire occurrence and their relationship with climatic, environmental and anthropogenic drivers can help to design more effective management strategies to mitigate fire impacts and to preserve the ecological integrity of these highly diverse regionsItem Updating the Upper Cretaceous (Campanian) Two Medicine Formation of Montana: Lithostratigraphic revisions, new CA-ID-TIMS U-Pb ages, and a calibrated framework for dinosaur occurrences(Geological Society of America, 2024-07) Rogers, Raymond R.; Horner, John R.; Ramezani, Jahandar; Roberts, Eric M.; Carricchio, David J.The Campanian Two Medicine Formation of northwestern Montana, USA, is richly fossiliferous, and discoveries made within the unit over the past century have greatly advanced our appreciation of dinosaur paleobiology and evolution. Previously undifferentiated from a lithostratigraphic perspective, the formation is now subdivided into four new members that include (from base to top) (1) the Rock City Member, (2) the Shields Crossing Member, (3) the Hagans Crossing Member, and (4) the Flag Butte Member. These new formal units and their associated fossil occurrences are also now included in an age model founded on eight high-resolution chemical abrasion−isotope dilution−thermal ionization mass spectrometry (CA-ID-TIMS) U-Pb ages. New age data confirm that the Two Medicine Formation accumulated during much of the Campanian, with deposition spanning ca. 82.4 Ma to 74.4 Ma. New age data further indicate that a major reorganization of depositional systems, marked by a shift from predominantly lacustrine to alluvial facies and accompanied by a dramatic increase in accommodation, transpired near the base of the new Flag Butte Member at ca. 76.3 Ma. This change in depositional regime correlates in age with the Judith River−Belly River discontinuity, which marks the contact between the McClelland Ferry and Coal Ridge Members in the Judith River Formation and coincides with the onset of the Bearpaw transgression in north-central Montana. The new lithostratigraphic and chronostratigraphic framework for the Two Medicine Formation serves to contextualize and calibrate the formation’s rich dinosaur fossil record, which can now be interrogated with increased clarity and precision. These results also provide ground truth for numerical models that explore the structure of the fossil record in relation to alluvial architecture and terrestrial sequence stratigraphy.Item Preventing heat-related deaths: The urgent need for a global early warning system for heat(Public Library of Science, 2024-07) Brimicombe, Chloe; Runkle, Jennifer D.; Tuholske, Cascade; Domeisen, Daniela I. V.; Gao, Chuansi; Toftum, Jørn; Otto, Ilona M.Heatwaves are the deadliest weather hazard and people and societies across the world continue to suffer from heat-related impacts. Future climate projections show a troubling increase in cross-sectoral impacts including health and economic risk presented by heatwaves. Many weather hazards such as floods and droughts already have a type of Early Warning System (EWS) or Global Alert System, but a global heat early warning system currently does not exist. An accurate heat EWS can save lives and can promote heat adaptation across society. Here, we (1) explore the history of Early Warning Systems as framed using the Disaster Risk Reduction paradigms and (2) identify potential barriers to an integrated Global Heat Early Warning system. Finally, we discuss what we have learned from history and the identified current barriers and outline a vision of a Global Heat Early Warning system around four key themes, incorporating systems for low-, middle-, and high-income countries and requiring cross-sectoral, cross-government, and interdisciplinary collaboration.Item Morphology, timing, and drivers of post-glacial landslides in the northern Yellowstone region(Wiley, 2024) Dixon, Jean L.; Nicholas, Grace E.; Pierce, Kenneth L.; Lageson, DavidThe withdrawal of glaciers in mountainous systems exposes over-steepened slopes previously sculpted by ice. This debuttressing can directly trigger mass movements or leave slopes susceptible to them by other drivers, including seismogenic shaking and changing climate conditions. These systems may pose hazards long after deglaciation. Here, we investigate the drivers of slope failure for landslides at the northern entrance to Yellowstone National Park, a critical conduit traversed by ~1 million visitors each year. Through field mapping and analyses of LiDAR data, we quantify the spatial and temporal relationships between eight adjacent slides. Stratigraphic relationships and surface roughness analyses suggest initial emplacement 13–11.5 ka, after a significant delay from Deckard Flats glacial retreat (15.1 ± 1.2 ka). Thus, rapid glacial debuttressing was not the direct trigger of slope failure, though the resultant change in stress regime likely had a preparatory influence. We posit that the timing of failure was associated with (1) a period of enhanced moisture and seismicity in the late Pleistocene and (2) altered stress regimes associated with ice retreat. Historical archives and cross-cutting relationships indicate portions of some ancient slides were reactivated; these areas are morphologically distinguishable from other slide surfaces, with mean topographic roughness 2 times that of non-active slides. Stream power analysis and archival records indicate Holocene incision of the Gardner River and human disturbances are largely responsible for modern reactivations. Our findings highlight the importance of combining archival records with stratigraphic, field and remote sensing approaches to understanding landslide timing, risk, and drivers in post-glacial environments. This study also provides a valuable baseline for geomorphic change in the Yellowstone system, where a 2022 flood incised streams, damaged infrastructure and further reactivated landslide slopes.Item Reconciling petrologic magma ascent speedometers for the June 12th, 1991 eruption of Mt. Pinatubo, Philippines(Volcanica, 2024-03) Harris, Megan; Hosseini, Behnaz; Myers, Madison; Bouley, LoganWe investigate whether decompression rates derived from three often-disparate petrologic techniques (microlites, bubbles, and melt embayments) can be reconciled or integrated for a more complete understanding of magma ascent in the conduit. We focus on the well-studied and -documented earliest Plinian eruptions (June 12, 1991) of Mount Pinatubo. Using a newly developed two-stage decompression-diffusion model, volatile profiles in quartz-hosted embayments reveal an initial stage of decompression nearly two orders of magnitude slower than final rates. In applying time-integrated models of microlite and bubble nucleation and growth, initial decompression rates from embayments are supported by microlite modeling results, whereas final rates are in close agreement with bubble number densities. This consistency and continuity between speedometers supports the sensitivity of different petrologic recorders to specific regions of the conduit system and highlights the fidelity of embayments as recorders of decompression throughout the entire conduit. Ascent timescales derived from Pinatubo embayments range from hours to days, coinciding with the visual onset of lava effusion leading to explosive activity.Item Wood–Ljungdahl pathway encoding anaerobes facilitate low-cost primary production in hypersaline sediments at Great Salt Lake, Utah(Oxford University Press, 2024-07) Shoemaker, Anna; Maritan, Andrew; Cosar, Su; Nupp, Sylvia; Menchaca, Ana; Jackson, Thomas; Dang, Aria; Baxter, Bonnie K.; Colman, Daniel R.; Dunham, Eric C.; Boyd, Eric S.Little is known of primary production in dark hypersaline ecosystems despite the prevalence of such environments on Earth today and throughout its geologic history. Here, we generated and analyzed metagenome-assembled genomes (MAGs) organized as operational taxonomic units (OTUs) from three depth intervals along a 30-cm sediment core from the north arm of Great Salt Lake, Utah. The sediments and associated porewaters were saturated with NaCl, exhibited redox gradients with depth, and harbored nitrogen-depleted organic carbon. Metabolic predictions of MAGs representing 36 total OTUs recovered from the core indicated that communities transitioned from aerobic and heterotrophic at the surface to anaerobic and autotrophic at depth. Dark CO2 fixation was detected in sediments and the primary mode of autotrophy was predicted to be via the Wood–Ljungdahl pathway. This included novel hydrogenotrophic acetogens affiliated with the bacterial class Candidatus Bipolaricaulia. Minor populations were dependent on the Calvin cycle and the reverse tricarboxylic acid cycle, including in a novel Thermoplasmatota MAG. These results are interpreted to reflect the favorability of and selectability for populations that operate the lowest energy requiring CO2-fixation pathway known, the Wood–Ljungdahl pathway, in anoxic and hypersaline conditions that together impart a higher energy demand on cells.